Links on Climate Change

Contributors: IPCC references come from  IPCC WG I SPM,
other references are selected by the GreenFacts Foundation

3. What climate changes are expected for the future?

3.1. What emission scenarios are projected?

See IPCC Third Assessment Report of Working Group 1:

• Chapter 4.4.5 : Atmospheric Composition for the IPCC Scenarios to 2100
  
• See also the SRES Tables in Appendix II
  

• Greenhouse gases
  • Chapter 3.7.3 : Coupled Model Responses and Implications for Future CO2 Concentrations
    
  • Chapter 3.7.1 : Terrestrial Carbon Model Responses to Scenarios of Change in CO2 and Climate
    
  • Chapter 3.7.2 : Ocean Carbon Model Responses to Scenarios of Change in CO2 and Climate
    
  • Chapter 3.2.2 : Terrestrial Carbon Processes
    
  • Chapter 4.4.5 : Atmospheric Composition for the IPCC Scenarios to 2100
    
  • Chapter 4.5 : Open Questions
    
  • Chapter 4.6 : Overall Impact of Global Atmospheric Chemistry Change
    
  • See also the SRES Tables in Appendix II
    

• Chapter 5.5.2 : Climate Change and Natural Aerosol Emissions
  
• Chapter 5.5.3 : Simulation of Future Aerosol Concentrations
  
See also the SRES Tables in Appendix II

• Chapter 6.15.2 : SRES Scenarios
  
• See also the SRES Tables in Appendix II

3.2. What climate changes are projected for the 21st century?

See IPCC Third Assessment Report of Working Group 1:

• Temperature
  
  • Chapter 9.3.3 : Range of Temperature Response to SRES Emission Scenarios
    
  • Chapter 2.2.2 : Temperature in the Instrumental Record for Land and Oceans
    
  • Chapter2.3.2 : Temperature of the Past 1,000 Years
    
  • Chapter 2.4 : How Rapidly did Climate Change in the Distant Past?
    
  • Chapter 10.3.2 : Simulations of Climate Change
    
  • Chapter 8.6.1 : 20th Century Coupled Model Integrations Including Greenhouse Gases and Sulphate Aerosols
    
  • Chapter 12.4.3 : Optimal Fingerprint Methods
    
  • Chapter 13.5.1 : Representing Uncertainty in Climate Scenarios
    
  • Chapter 13.5.2 : Approaches for Representing Uncertainties
    
  • Chapter 9.3.2 : Patterns of Future Climate Change
    
  • See also Box 10.1: Regional climate change in AOGCMs...

• Precipitation
  
  • Chapter 9.3.1 : Global Mean Response
    
  • Chapter 9.3.6 : Changes of Extreme Events
    
  • Chapter 10.3.2 : Simulations of Climate Change
    
  • See also Box 10.1: Regional climate change in AOGCMs...

• Extreme events
  
  • Chapter 2.1 : Observed Climate Variability and Change
    
  • Chapter 2.2 : How Much is the World Warming?
    
  • Chapter 2.5 : How have Precipitation and Atmospheric Moisture Changed?
    
  • Chapter 2.7.2 : Is There Evidence for Changes in Variability or Extremes?
    
  • Chapter 2.7.3 : Is There Evidence for Changes in Extreme Weather or Climate Events?
    
  • Chapter 9.3.6 : Changes of Extreme Events
    
  • Chapter 10.3.2 : Simulations of Climate Change
    
  • Chapter 2.7.3 : Is There Evidence for Changes in Extreme Weather or Climate Events?

• El Niño
  
• Chapter 9.3.5 : Changes in Variability
  
• Monsoons
  Chapter 9.3.5 : Changes in Variability
• Thermohaline circulation
  Chapter 9.3.4 : Factors that Contribute to the Response
• Snow and ice
  Chapter 9.3.2 : Patterns of Future Climate Change
  Chapter 11.5.1 : Global Average Sea Level Change 1990 to 2100
  Chapter 11.5.4 : Longer Term Changes
• Sea level
  Chapter 11.5.1 : Global Average Sea Level Change 1990 to 2100

3.3. What climate changes are projected for future centuries?

See IPCC Third Assessment Report of Working Group 1:


Chapter 3.2.3 : Ocean Carbon Processes
Chapter 4.4 : Projections of Natural Emissions in 2100
Chapter 6.15 : Time Evolution of Radiative Forcings
Chapter 9.3.3 : Range of Temperature Response to SRES Emission Scenarios
Chapter 9.3.4 : Factors that Contribute to the Response
Chapter 11.5.4 : Longer Term Changes


Sources: IPCC references come from  IPCC WG I SPM,
other references are selected by the GreenFacts Foundation

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