|
Source: IPCC
Glossary
IPCC Glossary
for Climate Change
Adaptive
Capacity
Adaptive capacity is the ability
of a system to adjust to climate
change (including climate variability
and extremes) to moderate potential
damages, to take advantage of opportunities,
or to cope with the consequences.
Adjustment
time
See: Lifetime;
see also: Response
time
Aerosols
A collection of airborne solid or
liquid particles, with a typical
size between 0.01 and 10 nm and
residing in the atmosphere for at
least several hours. Aerosols may
be of either natural or anthropogenic
origin. Aerosols may influence climate
in two ways: directly through scattering
and absorbing radiation, and indirectly
through acting as condensation nuclei
for cloud formation or modifying
the optical properties and lifetime
of clouds. See: Indirect
aerosol effect.
The term has also come to be associated,
erroneously, with the propellant
used in "aerosol sprays".
Afforestation
Planting of new forests on lands
that historically have not contained
forests. For a discussion of the
term forest
and related terms such as afforestation,
reforestation,
and deforestation:
see the IPCC Report on Land Use,
Land-Use Change and Forestry (IPCC,
2000).
Albedo
The fraction of solar radiation
reflected by a surface or object,
often expressed as a percentage.
Snow covered surfaces have a high
albedo; the albedo of soils ranges
from high to low; vegetation covered
surfaces and oceans have a low albedo.
The Earth's albedo varies mainly
through varying cloudiness, snow,
ice, leaf area and land cover changes.
Altimetry
A technique for the measurement
of the elevation of the sea, land
or ice surface. For example, the
height of the sea surface (with
respect to the centre of the Earth
or, more conventionally, with respect
to a standard "ellipsoid of revolution")
can be measured from space by current
state-of-the-art radar altimetry
with centrimetric precision. Altimetry
has the advantage of being a measurement
relative to a geocentric reference
frame, rather than relative to land
level as for a tide
gauge, and of affording quasi-global
coverage.
Anthropogenic
Resulting from or produced by human
beings.
Atmosphere
The gaseous envelope surrounding
the Earth. The dry atmosphere consists
almost entirely of nitrogen (78.1%
volume mixing ratio) and oxygen
(20.9% volume mixing ratio), together
with a number of trace gases, such
as argon (0.93% volume mixing ratio),
helium, and radiatively active greenhouse
gases such as carbon
dioxide (0.035% volume mixing
ratio), and ozone. In addition the
atmosphere contains water vapour,
whose amount is highly variable
but typically 1% volume mixing ratio.
The atmosphere also contains clouds
and aerosols.
Attribution
See: Detection
and attribution.
Autotrophic
respiration
Respiration
by photosynthetic organisms (plants).
Biomass
The total mass of living organisms
in a given area or volume; recently
dead plant material is often included
as dead biomass.
Biosphere
(terrestrial and marine)
The part of the Earth system comprising
all ecosystems
and living organisms, in the atmosphere,
on land (terrestrial biosphere)
or in the oceans (marine biosphere),
including derived dead organic matter,
such as litter, soil organic matter
and oceanic detritus.
Black
carbon
Operationally defined species based
on measurement of light absorption
and chemical reactivity and/or thermal
stability; consists of soot, charcoal,
and/or possible light-absorbing
refractory organic matter. (Source:
Charlson and Heintzenberg, 1995,
p. 401.)
Burden
The total mass of a gaseous substance
of concern in the atmosphere.
Carbonaceous
aerosol
Aerosol consisting predominantly
of organic substances and various
forms of black
carbon. (Source: Charlson and
Heintzenberg, 1995, p. 401.)
Carbon
cycle
The term used to describe the flow
of carbon (in various forms, e.g.
as carbon
dioxide) through the atmosphere,
ocean, terrestrial biosphere
and lithosphere.
Carbon
dioxide (CO2)
A naturally occurring gas, also
a by-product of burning fossil fuels
and biomass,
as well as land-use
changes and other industrial
processes. It is the principal anthropogenic
greenhouse
gas that affects the earth's
radiative balance. It is the reference
gas against which other greenhouse
gases are measured and therefore
has a Global
Warming Potential of 1.
Carbon
dioxide (CO2)
fertilisation
The enhancement of the growth of
plants as a result of increased
atmospheric CO2
concentration. Depending on their
mechanism of photosynthesis,
certain types of plants are more
sensitive to changes in atmospheric
CO2
concentratioin. In particular, C3
plants generally show a larger
response to CO2
than C4
plants.
Charcoal
Material resulting from charring
of biomass, usually retaining some
of the microscopic texture typical
of plant tissues; chemically it
consists mainly of carbon with a
disturbed graphitic structure, with
lesser amounts of oxygen and hydrogen.
See: Black
carbon; Soot particles. (Source:
Charlson and Heintzenberg, 1995,
p. 402.)
Climate
Climate in a narrow sense is usually
defined as the "average weather",
or more rigorously, as the statistical
description in terms of the mean
and variability of relevant quantities
over a period of time ranging from
months to thousands or millions
of years. The classical period is
30 years, as defined by the World
Meteorological Organization (WMO).
These quantities are most often
surface variables such as temperature,
precipitation, and wind. Climate
in a wider sense is the state, including
a statistical description, of the
climate
system.
Climate
change
Climate change refers to a statistically
significant variation in either
the mean state of the climate or
in its variability, persisting for
an extended period (typically decades
or longer). Climate change may be
due to natural internal processes
or external forcings, or to persistent
anthropogenic
changes in the composition of the
atmosphere or in land use.
Note that the Framework
Convention on Climate Change
(UNFCCC), in its Article 1, defines
"climate change" as: "a change of
climate which is attributed directly
or indirectly to human activity
that alters the composition of the
global atmosphere and which is in
addition to natural climate variability
observed over comparable time periods".
The UNFCCC thus makes a distinction
between "climate change" attributable
to human activities altering the
atmospheric composition, and "climate
variability" attributable to natural
causes.
See also: Climate
variability.
Climate
feedback
An interaction mechanism between
processes in the climate
system is called a climate feedback,
when the result of an initial process
triggers changes in a second process
that in turn influences the initial
one. A positive feedback intensifies
the original process, and a negative
feedback reduces it.
Climate
model (hierarchy)
A numerical representation of the
climate
system based on the physical,
chemical and biological properties
of its components, their interactions
and feedback processes, and accounting
for all or some of its known properties.
The climate system can be represented
by models of varying complexity,
i.e. for any one component or combination
of components a hierarchy of models
can be identified, differing in
such aspects as the number of spatial
dimensions, the extent to which
physical, chemical or biological
processes are explicitly represented,
or the level at which empirical
parametrizations
are involved. Coupled atmosphere/ocean/sea-ice
General Circulation Models (AOGCMs)
provide a comprehensive representation
of the climate system. There is
an evolution towards more complex
models with active chemistry and
biology.
Climate models are applied, as a
research tool, to study and simulate
the climate, but also for operational
purposes, including monthly, seasonal
and interannual climate
predictions.
Climate
prediction
A climate prediction or climate
forecast is the result of an attempt
to produce a most likely description
or estimate of the actual evolution
of the climate in the future, e.g.
at seasonal, interannual or long-term
time scales. See also: Climate
projection and Climate
(change) scenario.
Climate
projection
A projection
of the response of the climate system
to emission
or concentration scenarios of
greenhouse gases and aerosols,
or radiative
forcing scenarios, often based
upon simulations by climate
models. Climate projections
are distinguished from climate
predictions in order to emphasise
that climate projections depend
upon the emission/concentration/
radiative forcing scenario used,
which are based on assumptions,
concerning, e.g., future socio-economic
and technological developments,
that may or may not be realised,
and are therefore subject to substantial
uncertainty.
Climate
scenario
A plausible and often simplified
representation of the future climate,
based on an internally consistent
set of climatological relationships,
that has been constructed for explicit
use in investigating the potential
consequences of anthropogenic climate
change, often serving as input
to impact models. Climate
projections often serve as the
raw material for constructing climate
scenarios, but climate scenarios
usually require additional information
such as about the observed current
climate. A climate change scenario
is the difference between a climate
scenario and the current climate.
Climate
sensitivity
In IPCC Reports, equilibrium climate
sensitivity refers to the equilibrium
change in global mean surface temperature
following a doubling of the atmospheric
(equivalent)
CO2
concentration. More generally, equilibrium
climate sensitivity refers to the
equilibrium change in surface air
temperature following a unit change
in radiative
forcing(°C/Wm-2).
In practice, the evaluation of the
equilibrium climate sensitivity
requires very long simulations with
Coupled General Circulation Models
(Climate
model).
The effective climate sensitivity
is a related measure that circumvents
this requirement. It is evaluated
from model output for evolving non-equilibrium
conditions. It is a measure of the
strengths of the feedbacks
at a particular time and may vary
with forcing history and climate
state. Details are discussed in
Section
9.2.1 of Chapter
9 in this Report.
Climate
system
The climate system is the highly
complex system consisting of five
major components: the atmosphere,
the hydrosphere,
the cryosphere,
the land surface and the biosphere,
and the interactions between them.
The climate system evolves in time
under the influence of its own internal
dynamics and because of external
forcings such as volcanic eruptions,
solar variations and human-induced
forcings such as the changing composition
of the atmosphere and land-use
change.
Climate
variability
Climate variability refers to variations
in the mean state and other statistics
(such as standard deviations, the
occurrence of extremes, etc.) of
the climate on all temporal and
spatial scales beyond that of individual
weather events. Variability may
be due to natural internal processes
within the climate system (internal
variability), or to variations in
natural or anthropogenic
external forcing (external variability).
See also: Climate
change.
Cloud
condensation nuclei
Airborne particles that serve as
an initial site for the condensation
of liquid water and which can lead
to the formation of cloud droplets.
See also: Aerosols.
CO2
fertilisation
See carbon
dioxide (CO2)
fertilisation
Cooling
degree days
The integral over a day of the temperature
above 18°C (e.g. a day with
an average temperature of 20°C
counts as 2 cooling degree days).
See also: Heating
degree days.
Cryosphere
The component of the climate
system consisting of all snow,
ice and permafrost on and beneath
the surface of the earth and ocean.
See: Glacier;
Ice
sheet.
C3
plants
Plants that produce a three-carbon
compound during photo-synthesis;
including most trees and agricultural
crops such as rice, wheat, soyabeans,
potatoes and vegetables.
C4
plants
Plants that produce a four-carbon
compound during photo-synthesis;
mainly of tropical origin, including
grasses and the agriculturally important
crops maize, sugar cane, millet
and sorghum.
Deforestation
Conversion of forest to non-forest.
For a discussion of the term forest
and related terms such as afforestation,
reforestation,
and deforestation: see the IPCC
Report on Land Use, Land-Use Change
and Forestry (IPCC, 2000).
Desertification
Land degradation in arid, semi-arid,
and dry sub-humid areas resulting
from various factors, including
climatic variations and human activities.
Further, the UNCCD (The United Nations
Convention to Combat Desertification)
defines land degradation as a reduction
or loss, in arid, semi-arid, and
dry sub-humid areas, of the biological
or economic productivity and complexity
of rain-fed cropland, irrigated
cropland, or range, pasture, forest,
and woodlands resulting from land
uses or from a process or combination
of processes, including processes
arising from human activities and
habitation patterns, such as: (i)
soil erosion caused by wind and/or
water; (ii) deterioration of the
physical, chemical and biological
or economic properties of soil;
and (iii) long-term loss of natural
vegetation.
Detection
and attribution
Climate varies continually on all
time scales. Detection of climate
change is the process of demonstrating
that climate has changed in some
defined statistical sense, without
providing a reason for that change.
Attribution of causes of climate
change is the process of establishing
the most likely causes for the detected
change with some defined level of
confidence.
Diurnal
temperature range
The difference between the maximum
and minimum temperature during a
day.
Dobson
Unit (DU)
A unit to measure the total amount
of ozone in a vertical column above
the Earth's surface. The number
of Dobson Units is the thickness
in units of 10-5
m, that the ozone column would occupy
if compressed into a layer of uniform
density at a pressure of 1013
hPa, and a temperature of 0°C.
One DU corresponds to a column of
ozone containing 2.69 x1020
molecules per square meter. A typical
value for the amount of ozone in
a column of the Earth's atmosphere,
although very variable, is 300 DU.
Ecosystem
A system of interacting living organisms
together with their physical environment.
The boundaries of what could be
called an ecosystems
are somewhat arbitrary, depending
on the focus of interest or study.
Thus the extent of an ecosystem
may range from very small spatial
scales to, ultimately, the entire
Earth.
El
Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)
El Niño, in its original
sense, is a warm water current which
periodically flows along the coast
of Ecuador and Peru, disrupting
the local fishery. This oceanic
event is associated with a fluctuation
of the intertropical surface pressure
pattern and circulation in the Indian
and Pacific oceans, called the Southern
Oscillation. This coupled atmosphere-ocean
phenomenon is collectively known
as El Niño-Southern Oscillation,
or ENSO. During an El Niño
event, the prevailing trade winds
weaken and the equatorial countercurrent
strengthens, causing warm surface
waters in the Indonesian area to
flow eastward to overlie the cold
waters of the Peru current. This
event has great impact on the wind,
sea surface temperature and precipitation
patterns in the tropical Pacific.
It has climatic effects throughout
the Pacific region and in many other
parts of the world. The opposite
of an El Niño event is called
La Niña (more info in http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc_tar/
wg1/022.htm#box4).
Emission
scenario
A plausible representation of the
future development of emissions
of substances that are potentially
radiatively active (e.g. greenhouse
gases, aerosols),
based on a coherent and internally
consistent set of assumptions about
driving forces (such as demographic
and socio-economic development,
technological change) and their
key relationships.
Concentration scenarios, derived
from emission scenarios, are used
as input into a climate model to
compute climate
projections.
In IPCC (1992) a set of emission
scenarios was presented which were
used as a basis for the climate
projections in IPCC (1996).
These emission scenarios are referred
to as the IS92 scenarios. In the
IPCC Special Report on Emission
Scenarios (Nakicenovic et al., 2000)
new emission scenarios, the so called
SRES
scenarios, were published some
of which were used, among others,
as a basis for the climate projections
presented in Chapter
9 of this Report. For the meaning
of some terms related to these scenarios,
see SRES
scenarios.
http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc_tar/
wg1/338.htm
Energy
balance
Averaged over the globe and over
longer time periods, the energy
budget of the climate
system must be in balance. Because
the climate system derives all its
energy from the Sun, this balance
implies that, globally, the amount
of incoming solar
radiation must on average be
equal to the sum of the outgoing
reflected solar radiation and the
outgoing infrared
radiation emitted by the climate
system. A perturbation of this global
radiation balance, be it human induced
or natural, is called radiative
forcing.
Equilibrium
and transient climate experiment
An equilibrium climate experiment
is an experiment in which a climate
model is allowed to fully adjust
to a change in radiative
forcing. Such experiments provide
information on the difference between
the initial and final states of
the model, but not on the time-dependent
response. If the forcing is allowed
to evolve gradually according to
a prescribed emission
scenario, the time dependent
response of a climate model may
be analysed. Such experiment is
called a transient climate experiment.
See: Climate
projection.
Equivalent
CO2
(carbon dioxide)
The concentration of CO2
that would cause the same amount
of radiative
forcing as a given mixture of
CO2
and other greenhouse
gases.
Eustatic
sea-level change
A change in global average sea level
brought about by an alteration to
the volume of the world ocean. This
may be caused by changes in water
density or in the total mass of
water. In discussions of changes
on geological time-scales, this
term sometimes also includes changes
in global average sea level caused
by an alteration to the shape of
the ocean basins. In this Report
the term is not used with that sense.
Evapotranspiration
The combined process of evaporation
from the Earth's surface and transpiration
from vegetation.
External
forcing
See: Climate
system.
Extreme
weather event
An extreme weather event is an event
that is rare within its statistical
reference distribution at a particular
place. Definitions of "rare" vary,
but an extreme weather event would
normally be as rare as or rarer
than the 10th or 90th percentile.
By definition, the characteristics
of what is called extreme weather
may vary from place to place.
An extreme climate event is an average
of a number of weather events over
a certain period of time, an average
which is itself extreme (e.g. rainfall
over a season).
Faculae
Bright patches on the Sun. The area
covered by faculae is greater during
periods of high solar
activity.
Feedback
See: Climate
feedback.
Flux
adjustment
To avoid the problem of coupled
atmosphere-ocean general circulation
models drifting into some unrealistic
climate state, adjustment terms
can be applied to the atmosphere-ocean
fluxes of heat and moisture (and
sometimes the surface stresses resulting
from the effect of the wind on the
ocean surface) before these fluxes
are imposed on the model ocean and
atmosphere. Because these adjustments
are precomputed and therefore independent
of the coupled model integration,
they are uncorrelated to the anomalies
which develop during the integration.
In Chapter
8 of this Report it is concluded
that present models have a reduced
need for flux adjustment.
Forest
A vegetation type dominated by trees.
Many definitions of the term forest
are in use throughout the world,
reflecting wide differences in bio-geophysical
conditions, social structure, and
economics. For a discussion of the
term forest and related terms such
as afforestation,
reforestation,
and deforestation:
see the IPCC Report on Land Use,
Land-Use Change and Forestry (IPCC,
2000).
Fossil
CO2
(carbon dioxide) emissions
Emissions of CO2
resulting from the combustion of
fuels from fossil carbon deposits
such as oil, gas and coal.
Framework
Convention on Climate Change
See: United
Nations Framework Convention on
Climate Change (UNFCCC).
General
Circulation
The large scale motions of the atmosphere
and the ocean as a consequence of
differential heating on a rotating
Earth, aiming to restore the energy
balance of the system through
transport of heat and momentum.
General
Circulation Model (GCM)
See: Climate
model.
Geoid
The surface which an ocean of uniform
density would assume if it were
in steady state and at rest (i.e.
no ocean circulation and no applied
forces other than the gravity of
the Earth). This implies that the
geoid will be a surface of constant
gravitational potential, which can
serve as a reference surface to
which all surfaces (e.g., the Mean
Sea Surface) can be referred. The
geoid (and surfaces parallel to
the geoid) are what we refer to
in common experience as "level surfaces".
Glacier
A mass of land ice flowing downhill
(by internal deformation and sliding
at the base) and constrained by
the surrounding topography e.g.
the sides of a valley or surrounding
peaks; the bedrock topography is
the major influence on the dynamics
and surface slope of a glacier.
A glacier is maintained by accumulation
of snow at high altitudes, balanced
by melting at low altitudes or discharge
into the sea.
Global surface temperature
The global surface temperature is
the area-weighted global average
of (i) the sea-surface temperature
over the oceans (i.e. the subsurface
bulk temperature in the first few
meters of the ocean), and (ii) the
surface-air temperature over land
at 1.5 m above the ground.
Global
Warming Potential (GWP)
An index, describing the radiative
characteristics of well mixed greenhouse
gases, that represents the combined
effect of the differing times these
gases remain in the atmosphere and
their relative effectiveness in
absorbing outgoing infrared
radiation. This index approximates
the time-integrated warming effect
of a unit mass of a given greenhouse
gas in today's atmosphere, relative
to that of carbon
dioxide.
Greenhouse
effect
Greenhouse
gases effectively absorb infrared
radiation, emitted by the Earth's
surface, by the atmosphere itself
due to the same gases, and by clouds.
Atmospheric radiation is emitted
to all sides, including downward
to the Earth's surface. Thus greenhouse
gases trap heat within the surface-troposphere
system. This is called the natural
greenhouse effect.
Atmospheric radiation is strongly
coupled to the temperature of the
level at which it is emitted. In
the troposphere
the temperature generally decreases
with height. Effectively, infrared
radiation emitted to space originates
from an altitude with a temperature
of, on average, -19°C, in balance
with the net incoming solar radiation,
whereas the Earth's surface is kept
at a much higher temperature of,
on average, +14°C.
An increase in the concentration
of greenhouse gases leads to an
increased infrared opacity of the
atmosphere, and therefore to an
effective radiation into space from
a higher altitude at a lower temperature.
This causes a radiative
forcing, an imbalance that can
only be compensated for by an increase
of the temperature of the surface-troposphere
system. This is the enhanced greenhouse
effect.
Greenhouse
gas
Greenhouse gases are those gaseous
constituents of the atmosphere,
both natural and anthropogenic,
that absorb and emit radiation at
specific wavelengths within the
spectrum of infrared radiation emitted
by the Earth's surface, the atmosphere
and clouds. This property causes
the greenhouse
effect. Water vapour (H2O),
carbon dioxide (CO2),
nitrous oxide (N2O),
methane (CH4)
and ozone (O3)
are the primary greenhouse gases
in the Earth's atmosphere. Moreover
there are a number of entirely human-made
greenhouse gases in the atmosphere,
such as the halocarbons
and other chlorine and bromine containing
substances, dealt with under the
Montreal
Protocol. Beside CO2,
N2O
and CH4,
the Kyoto
Protocol deals with the greenhouse
gases sulphur hexafluoride (SF6),
hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) and perfluorocarbons
(PFCs).
Gross
Primary Production (GPP)
The amount of carbon fixed from
the atmosphere through photosynthesis.
Grounding
line/zone
The junction between ice
sheet and ice
shelf or the place where the
ice starts to float.
Halocarbons
Compounds containing either chlorine,
bromine or fluorine and carbon.
Such compounds can act as powerful
greenhouse
gases in the atmosphere. The
chlorine and bromine containing
halocarbons are also involved in
the depletion of the ozone
layer.
Heating
degree days
The integral over a day of the temperature
below 18°C (e.g. a day with
an average temperature of 16°C
counts as 2 heating degree days).
See also: Cooling
degree days.
Heterotrophic
respiration
The conversion of organic matter
to CO2
by organisms other than plants.
Hydrosphere
The component of the climate system
comprising liquid surface and subterranean
water, such as: oceans, seas, rivers,
fresh water lakes, underground water
etc.
Ice cap
A dome shaped ice mass covering
a highland area that is considerably
smaller in extent than an ice
sheet.
Ice
sheet
A mass of land ice which is sufficiently
deep to cover most of the underlying
bedrock topography, so that its
shape is mainly determined by its
internal dynamics (the flow of the
ice as it deforms internally and
slides at its base). An ice sheet
flows outwards from a high central
plateau with a small average surface
slope. The margins slope steeply,
and the ice is discharged through
fast-flowing ice streams or outlet
glaciers, in some cases into the
sea or into ice-shelves floating
on the sea. There are only two large
ice sheets in the modern world,
on Greenland and Antarctica, the
Antarctic ice sheet being divided
into East and West by the Transantarctic
Mountains; during glacial periods
there were others.
Ice
shelf
A floating ice
sheet of considerable thickness
attached to a coast (usually of
great horizontal extent with a level
or gently undulating surface); often
a seaward extension of ice sheets.
Indirect
aerosol effect
Aerosols
may lead to an indirect radiative
forcing of the climate
system through acting as condensation
nuclei or modifying the optical
properties and lifetime of clouds.
Two indirect effects are distinguished:
First indirect effect
A radiative forcing induced by an
increase in anthropogenic aerosols
which cause an initial increase
in droplet concentration and a decrease
in droplet size for fixed liquid
water content, leading to an increase
of cloud albedo.
This effect is also known as the
Twomey effect. This is sometimes
referred to as the cloud albedo
effect. However this is highly misleading
since the second indirect effect
also alters cloud albedo.
Second indirect effect
A radiative forcing induced by an
increase in anthropogenic
aerosols which cause a decrease
in droplet size, reducing the precipitation
efficiency, thereby modifying the
liquid water content, cloud thickness,
and cloud life time. This effect
is also known as the cloud life
time effect or Albrecht effect.
Industrial
revolution
A period of rapid industrial growth
with far-reaching social and economic
consequences, beginning in England
during the second half of the eighteenth
century and spreading to Europe
and later to other countries including
the United States. The invention
of the steam engine was an important
trigger of this development. The
industrial revolution marks the
beginning of a strong increase in
the use of fossil fuels and emission
of, in particular, fossil carbon
dioxide. In this Report the terms
pre-industrial and industrial refer,
somewhat arbitrarily, to the periods
before and after 1750, respectively.
Infrared
radiation
Radiation emitted by the earth's
surface, the atmosphere and the
clouds. It is also known as terrestrial
or long-wave radiation. Infrared
radiation has a distinctive range
of wavelengths ("spectrum") longer
than the wavelength of the red colour
in the visible part of the spectrum.
The spectrum of infrared radiation
is practically distinct from that
of solar
or short-wave radiation because
of the difference in temperature
between the Sun and the Earth-atmosphere
system.
Integrated
assessment
A method of analysis that combines
results and models from the physical,
biological, economic and social
sciences, and the interactions between
these components, in a consistent
framework, to evaluate the status
and the consequences of environmental
change and the policy responses
to it.
Internal
variability
See: Climate
variability.
Inverse
modelling
A mathematical procedure by which
the input to a model is estimated
from the observed outcome, rather
than vice versa. It is, for instance,
used to estimate the location and
strength of sources and
sinks of CO2
from measurements of the distribution
of the CO2
concentration in the atmosphere,
given models of the global carbon
cycle and for computing atmospheric
transport.
Isostatic
land movements
Isostasy refers to the way in which
the lithosphere
and mantle respond to changes in
surface loads. When the loading
of the lithosphere is changed by
alterations in land ice mass, ocean
mass, sedimentation, erosion or
mountain building, vertical isostatic
adjustment results, in order to
balance the new load.
Kyoto
Protocol
The Kyoto Protocol to the United
Nations Framework
Convention on Climate Change(UNFCCC)
was adopted at the Third Session
of the Conference of the Parties
(COP) to the United Nations Framework
Convention on Climate Change,
in 1997 in Kyoto, Japan. It contains
legally binding commitments, in
addition to those included in the
UNFCCC. Countries included in Annex
B of the Protocol (most OECD countries
and countries with economies in
transition) agreed to reduce their
anthropogenic greenhouse
gas emissions (CO2,
CH4,
N2O,
HFCs, PFCs, and SF6)
by at least 5% below 1990 levels
in the commitment period 2008 to
2012. The Kyoto Protocol has not
yet entered into force (April 2001).
Land
use
The total of arrangements, activities
and inputs undertaken in a certain
land cover type (a set of human
actions). The social and economic
purposes for which land is managed
(e.g., grazing, timber extraction,
and conservation).
Land-use
change
A change in the use or management
of land by humans, which may lead
to a change in land cover. Land
cover and land-use change may have
an impact on the albedo,
evapotrans-piration,
sources
and sinks
of greenhouse
gases, or other properties of
the climate
system and may thus have an
impact on climate, locally or globally.
See also: the IPCC Report on Land
Use, Land-Use Change, and Forestry
(IPCC, 2000).
La Niña
See: El
Niño-Southern Oscillation.
Lifetime
Lifetime is a general term used
for various time-scales characterising
the rate of processes affecting
the concentration of trace gases.
The following lifetimes may be distinguished:
Turnover time (T) is the ratio of
the mass M of a reservoir (e.g.,
a gaseous compound in the atmosphere)
and the total rate of removal S
from the reservoir: T = M/S. For
each removal process separate turnover
times can be defined. In soil carbon
biology this is referred to as Mean
Residence Time (MRT).
adjustment
time or response time (Ta) is
the time-scale characterising the
decay of an instantaneous pulse
input into the reservoir. The term
adjustment time is also used to
characterise the adjustment of the
mass of a reservoir following a
step change in the source strength.
Half-life or decay constant is used
to quantify a first-order exponential
decay process. See: Response
time, for a different definition
pertinent to climate variations.
The term lifetime is sometimes used,
for simplicity, as a surrogate for
adjustment time.
In simple cases, where the global
removal of the compound is directly
proportional to the total mass of
the reservoir, the adjustment time
equals the turnover time: T = Ta.
An example is CFC-11 which is removed
from the atmosphere only by photochemical
processes in the stratosphere. In
more complicated cases, where several
reservoirs are involved or where
the removal is not proportional
to the total mass, the equality
T = Ta no longer holds. carbon
dioxide (CO2)
is an extreme example. Its turnover
time is only about 4 years because
of the rapid exchange between atmosphere
and the ocean and terrestrial biota.
However, a large part of that CO2
is returned to the atmosphere within
a few years. Thus, the adjustment
time of CO2
in the atmosphere is actually determined
by the rate of removal of carbon
from the surface layer of the oceans
into its deeper layers. Although
an approximate value of 100 years
may be given for the adjustment
time of CO2
in the atmosphere, the actual adjustment
is faster initially and slower later
on. In the case of methane (CH4)
the adjustment time is different
from the turnover time, because
the removal is mainly through a
chemical reaction with the hydroxyl
radical OH, the concentration of
which itself depends on the CH4
concentration. Therefore the CH4
removal S is not proportional to
its total mass M.
Lithosphere
The upper layer of the solid Earth,
both continental and oceanic, which
comprises all crustal rocks and
the cold, mainly elastic, part of
the uppermost mantle. Volcanic activity,
although part of the lithosphere,
is not considered as part of the
climate
system, but acts as an external
forcing factor. See: Isostatic
land movements.
LOSU (Level
of Scientific Understanding)
This is an index on a 4-step scale
(High, Medium, Low and Very Low)
designed to characterise the degree
of scientific understanding of the
radiative forcing agents that affect
climate change. For each agent,
the index represents a subjective
judgement about the reliability
of the estimate of its forcing,
involving such factors as the assumptions
necessary to evaluate
the forcing, the degree of knowledge
of the physical/ chemical mechanisms
determining the forcing and the
uncertainties surrounding the quantitative
estimate.
Mean
Sea Level
See: Relative
Sea Level.
Mitigation
A human intervention to reduce the
sources
or enhance the sinks
of greenhouse
gases.
Mixing
ratio
See: Mole
fraction.
Model
hierarchy
See: Climate
model.
Mole
fraction
Mole fraction, or mixing ratio,
is the ratio of the number of moles
of a constituent in a given volume
to the total number of moles of
all constituents in that volume.
It is usually reported for dry air.
Typical values for long-lived greenhouse
gases are in the order of mmol/mol
(parts per million: ppm), nmol/mol
(parts per billion: ppb), and fmol/mol
(parts per trillion: ppt). Mole
fraction differs from volume mixing
ratio, often expressed in ppmv etc.,
by the corrections for non-ideality
of gases. This correction is significant
relative to measurement precision
for many greenhouse gases. (Source:
Schwartz and Warneck, 1995).
Montreal
Protocol
The Montreal Protocol on Substances
that Deplete the Ozone Layer was
adopted in Montreal in 1987, and
subsequently adjusted and amended
in London (1990), Copenhagen (1992),
Vienna (1995), Montreal (1997) and
Beijing (1999). It controls the
consumption and production of chlorine-
and bromine-containing chemicals
that destroy stratospheric ozone,
such as CFCs, methyl chloroform,
carbon tetrachloride, and many others.
Net
Biome Production (NBP)
Net gain or loss of carbon from
a region. NBP is equal to the Net
Ecosystem Production minus the
carbon lost due to a disturbance,
e.g. a forest fire or a forest harvest.
Net
Ecosystem Production (NEP)
Net gain or loss of carbon from
an ecosystem.
NEP is equal to the Net
Primary Production minus the
carbon lost through heterotrophic
respiration.
Net
Primary Production (NPP)
The increase in plant biomass
or carbon of a unit of a landscape.
NPP is equal to the Gross
Primary Production minus carbon
lost through autotrophic
respiration.
Nitrogen
fertilisation
Enhancement of plant growth through
the addition of nitrogen compounds.
In IPCC Reports, this typically
refers to fertilisation from anthropogenic
sources of nitrogen such as human-made
fertilisers and nitrogen oxides
released from burning fossil fuels.
Non-linearity
A process is called "non-linear"
when there is no simple proportional
relation between cause and effect.
The climate
system contains many such non-linear
processes, resulting in a system
with a potentially very complex
behaviour. Such complexity may lead
to rapid
climate change.
North
Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)
The North Atlantic Oscillation consists
of opposing variations of barometric
pressure near Iceland and near the
Azores. On average, a westerly current,
between the Icelandic low pressure
area and the Azores high pressure
area, carries cyclones with their
associated frontal systems towards
Europe. However, the pressure difference
between Iceland and the Azores fluctuates
on time-scales of days to decades,
and can be reversed at times.
Organic
aerosol
Aerosol
particles consisting predominantly
of organic compounds, mainly C,
H, O, and lesser amounts of other
elements. (Source: Charlson and
Heintzenberg, 1995, p. 405.) See:
Carbonaceous
aerosol.
Ozone
Ozone, the triatomic form of oxygen
(O3),
is a gaseous atmospheric constituent.
In the troposphere
it is created both naturally and
by photochemical reactions involving
gases resulting from human activities
("smog"). Tropospheric ozone acts
as a greenhouse
gas. In the stratosphere
it is created by the interaction
between solar ultraviolet radiation
and molecular oxygen (O2).
Stratospheric ozone plays a decisive
role in the stratospheric radiative
balance. Its concentration is highest
in the ozone
layer.
Ozone
hole
See: Ozone
layer.
Ozone
layer
The stratosphere
contains a layer in which the concentration
of ozone is greatest, the so called
ozone layer. The layer extends from
about 12 to 40 km. The ozone concentration
reaches a maximum between about
20 and 25 km. This layer is being
depleted by human emissions of chlorine
and bromine compounds. Every year,
during the Southern Hemisphere spring,
a very strong depletion of the ozone
layer takes place over the Antarctic
region, also caused by human-made
chlorine and bromine compounds in
combination with the specific meteorological
conditions of that region. This
phenomenon is called the ozone hole.
Parametrization
In climate
models, this term refers to
the technique of representing processes,
that cannot be explicitly resolved
at the spatial or temporal resolution
of the model (sub-grid scale processes),
by relationships between the area
or time averaged effect of such
sub-grid scale processes and the
larger scale flow.
Patterns
of climate variability
Natural variability of the climate
system, in particular on seasonal
and longer time-scales, predominantly
occurs in preferred spatial patterns,
through the dynamical non-linear
characteristics of the atmospheric
circulation and through interactions
with the land and ocean surfaces.
Such spatial patterns are also called
"regimes" or "modes". Examples are
the North
Atlantic Oscillation (NAO),
the Pacific-North American pattern
(PNA), the El
Niño-Southern Oscillation
(ENSO), and the Antarctic Oscillation
(AO).
Photosynthesis
The process by which plants take
CO2
from the air (or bicarbonate in
water) to build carbohydrates, releasing
O2
in the process. There are several
pathways of photosynthesis with
different responses to atmospheric
CO2
concentrations. See: carbon
dioxide fertilisation.
Pool
See: Reservoir.
Post-glacial
rebound
The vertical movement of the continents
and sea floor following the disappearance
and shrinking of
ice sheets, e.g. since the Last
Glacial Maximum (21 ky BP). The
rebound is an isostatic
land movement.
Ppm,
ppb, ppt
See: Mole
fraction.
Precursors
Atmospheric compounds which themselves
are not greenhouse
gases or aerosols,
but which have an effect on greenhouse
gas or aerosol concentrations by
taking part in physical or chemical
processes regulating their production
or destruction rates.
Pre-industrial
See: Industrial
revolution.
Projection
(generic)
A projection is a potential future
evolution of a quantity or set of
quantities, often computed with
the aid of a model. Projections
are distinguished from predictions
in order to emphasise that projections
involve assumptions concerning,
e.g., future socio-economic and
technological developments that
may or may not be realised, and
are therefore subject to substantial
uncertainty. See also Climate
projection; Climate
prediction.
Proxy
A proxy climate indicator is a local
record that is interpreted, using
physical and biophysical principles,
to represent some combination of
climate-related variations back
in time. Climate related data derived
in this way are referred to as proxy
data. Examples of proxies are: tree
ring records, characteristics of
corals, and various data derived
from ice cores.
Radiative
forcing
Radiative forcing is the change
in the net vertical irradiance (expressed
in Watts per square metre: Wm-2)
at the tropopause
due to an internal change or a change
in the external forcing of the climate
system, such as, for example,
a change in the concentration of
carbon
dioxide or the output of the
Sun.
Usually radiative forcing is computed
after allowing for stratospheric
temperatures to readjust to radiative
equilibrium, but with all tropospheric
properties held fixed at their unperturbed
values.
Radiative forcing is called instantaneous
if no change in stratospheric temperature
is accounted for.
Practical problems with this definition,
in particular with respect to radiative
forcing associated with changes,
by aerosols,
of the precipitation formation by
clouds, are discussed in
Chapter 6 of this Report.
Radiative
forcing scenario
A plausible representation of the
future development of radiative
forcing associated, for example,
with changes in atmospheric composition
or land-use change, or with external
factors such as variations in solar
activity. Radiative forcing
scenarios can be used as input into
simplified climate
models to compute climate
projections.
Radio-echosounding
The surface and bedrock, and hence
the thickness, of a glacier can
be mapped by radar; signals penetrating
the ice are reflected at the lower
boundary with rock (or water, for
a floating glacier tongue).
Rapid
climate change
The non-linearity
of the climate
system may lead to rapid climate
change, sometimes called abrupt
events or even surprises. Some such
abrupt events may be imaginable,
such as a dramatic reorganisation
of the thermohaline
circulation, rapid deglaciation,
or massive melting of permafrost
leading to fast changes in the carbon
cycle. Others may be truly unexpected,
as a consequence of a strong, rapidly
changing, forcing of a non-linear
system.
Reforestation
Planting of forests on lands that
have previously contained forests
but that have been converted to
some other use. For a discussion
of the term forest
and related terms such as afforestation,
reforestation, and deforestation:
see the IPCC Report on Land Use,
Land-Use Change and Forestry (IPCC,
2000).
Regimes
Preferred patterns
of climate variability.
Relative
Sea Level
Sea level measured by a tide
gauge with respect to the land
upon which it is situated. Mean
Sea Level (MSL) is normally defined
as the average Relative Sea Level
over a period, such as a month or
a year, long enough to average out
transients such as waves.
(Relative)
Sea Level Secular Change
Long term changes in relative sea
level caused by either eustatic
changes, e.g. brought about
by thermal
expansion, or changes in vertical
land movements.
Reservoir
A component of the climate
system, other than the atmosphere,
which has the capacity to store,
accumulate or release a substance
of concern, e.g. carbon, a greenhouse
gas or a precursor.
Oceans, soils, and forests
are examples of reservoirs of carbon.
Pool is an equivalent term (note
that the definition of pool often
includes the atmosphere). The absolute
quantity of substance of concerns,
held within a reservoir at a specified
time, is called the stock.
Respiration
The process whereby living organisms
convert organic matter to CO2,
releasing energy and consuming O2.
Response
time
The response time or adjustment
time is the time needed for
the climate
system or its components to
re-equilibrate to a new state, following
a forcing resultinsg from external
and internal processes or feedbacks.
It is very different for various
components of the climate system.
The response time of the troposphere
is relatively short, from days to
weeks, whereas the stratosphere
comes into equilibrium on a time-scale
of typically a few months. Due to
their large heat capacity, the oceans
have a much longer response time,
typically decades, but up to centuries
or millennia. The response time
of the strongly coupled surface-troposphere
system is, therefore, slow compared
to that of the stratosphere, and
mainly determined by the oceans.
The biosphere
may respond fast, e.g. to droughts,
but also very slowly to imposed
changes.
See: Lifetime,
for a different definition of response
time pertinent to the rate of processes
affecting the concentration of trace
gases.
Scenario
(generic)
A plausible and often simplified
description of how the future may
develop, based on a coherent and
internally consistent set of assumptions
about driving forces and key relationships.
Scenarios may be derived from projections,
but are often based on additional
information from other sources,
sometimes combined with a "narrative
storyline". See also: SRES
scenarios; Climate
scenario; Emission
scenarios.
Sea
level rise
See: Relative
Sea Level Secular Change; Thermal
expansion.
Sensitivity
Sensitivity is the degree to which
a system is affected, either adversely
or beneficially, by climate-related
stimuli. Climate-related stimuli
encompass all the elements of climate
change, including mean climate characteristics,
climate variability, and the frequency
and magnitude of extremes. The effect
may be direct (e.g., a change in
crop yield in response to a change
in the mean, range, or variability
of temperature) or indirect (e.g.,
damages caused by an increase in
the frequency of coastal flooding
due to sea-level rise).
Sequestration
See: Uptake.
Significant
wave height
The average height of the highest
one-third of all sea waves occurring
in a particular time period. This
serves as an indicator of the characteristic
size of the highest waves.
Sink
Any process, activity or mechanism
which removes a greenhouse
gas, an aerosol
or a precursor of a greenhouse gas
or aerosol from the atmosphere.
Soil
moisture
Water stored in or at the land surface
and available for evaporation.
Solar
activity
The Sun exhibits periods of high
activity observed in numbers of
sunspots,
as well as radiative output, magnetic
activity, and emission of high energy
particles. These variations take
place on a range of time-scales
from millions of years to minutes.
See: Solar
cycle.
Solar
("11 year") cycle
A quasi-regular modulation of solar
activity with varying amplitude
and a period of between 9 and 13
years.
Solar
radiation
Radiation emitted by the Sun. It
is also referred to as short-wave
radiation. Solar radiation has a
distinctive range of wavelengths
(spectrum) determined by the temperature
of the Sun. See also: Infrared
radiation.
Soot
particles
Particles formed during the quenching
of gases at the outer edge of flames
of organic vapours, consisting predominantly
of carbon, with lesser amounts of
oxygen and hydrogen present as carboxyl
and phenolic groups and exhibiting
an imperfect graphitic structure.
See: Black
carbon; Charcoal. (Source: Charlson
and Heintzenberg, 1995, p. 406.)
Source
Any process, activity or mechanism
which releases a greenhouse gas,
an aerosol or a precursor of a greenhouse
gas or aerosol into the atmosphere.
Spatial
and temporal scales
Climate may vary on a large range
of spatial and temporal scales.
Spatial scales may range from local
(less than 100,000 km2),
through regional (100,000 to 10
million km2)
to continental (10 to 100 million
km2).
Temporal scales may range from seasonal
to geological (up to hundreds of
millions of years).
SRES
scenarios
SRES scenarios are emission
scenarios developed by Nakicenovic
et al. (2000) and used, among others,
as a basis for the climate projections
in Chapter
9 of this Report. The following
terms are relevant for a better
understanding of the structure and
use of the set of SRES scenarios:
(Scenario)
Family
Scenarios that have a similar demographic,
societal, economic and technical-change
storyline. Four scenario families
comprise the SRES scenario set:
A1, A2, B1 and B2.
(Scenario)
Group
Scenarios within a family that reflect
a consistent variation of the storyline.
The A1 scenario family includes
four groups designated as A1T, A1C,
A1G and A1B that explore alternative
structures of future energy systems.
In the Summary for Policymakers
of Nakicenovic et al. (2000), the
A1C and A1G groups have been combined
into one Fossil Intensive'
A1FI scenario group. The other three
scenario families consist of one
group each. The SRES scenario set
reflected in the Summary for Policymakers
of Nakicenovic et al. (2000) thus
consist of six distinct scenario
groups, all of which are equally
sound and together capture the range
of uncertainties associated with
driving forces and emissions.
Illustrative
Scenario
A scenario that is illustrative
for each of the six scenario groups
reflected in the Summary for Policymakers
of Nakicenovic et al. (2000). They
include four revised scenario
markers' for the scenario groups
A1B, A2, B1, B2, and two additional
scenarios for the A1FI and A1T groups.
All scenario groups are equally
sound.
(Scenario)
Marker
A scenario that was originally posted
in draft form on the SRES website
to represent a given scenario family.
The choice of markers was based
on which of the initial quantifications
best reflected the storyline, and
the features of specific models.
Markers are no more likely than
other scenarios, but are considered
by the SRES writing team as illustrative
of a particular storyline. They
are included in revised form in
Nakicenovic et al. (2000). These
scenarios have received the closest
scrutiny of the entire writing team
and via the SRES open process. Scenarios
have also been selected to illustrate
the other two scenario groups (see
also Scenario Group' and Illustrative
Scenario').
(Scenario)
Storyline
A narrative description of a scenario
(or family of scenarios) highlighting
the main scenario characteristics,
relationships between key driving
forces and the dynamics of their
evolution.
Stock
See: Reservoir.
Storm
surge
The temporary increase, at a particular
locality, in the height of the sea
due to extreme meteorological conditions
(low atmospheric pressure and/or
strong winds). The storm surge is
defined as being the excess above
the level expected from the tidal
variation alone at that time and
place.
Stratosphere
The highly stratified region of
the atmosphere above the troposphere
extending from about 10 km (ranging
from 9 km in high latitudes to 16
km in the tropics on average) to
about 50 km.
Sunspots
Small dark areas on the Sun. The
number of sunspots is higher during
periods of high solar
activity, and varies in particular
with the solar
cycle.
Thermal
expansion
In connection with sea level, this
refers to the increase in volume
(and decrease in density) that results
from warming water. A warming of
the ocean leads to an expansion
of the ocean volume and hence an
increase in sea level.
Thermohaline
circulation
Large-scale density-driven circulation
in the ocean, caused by differences
in temperature and salinity. In
the North Atlantic the thermohaline
circulation consists of warm surface
water flowing northward and cold
deep water flowing southward, resulting
in a net poleward transport of heat.
The surface water sinks in highly
restricted sinking regions located
in high latitudes.
Tide
gauge
A device at a coastal location (and
some deep sea locations) which continuously
measures the level of the sea with
respect to the adjacent land. Time-averaging
of the sea level so recorded gives
the observed Relative
Sea Level Secular Changes.
Transient
climate response
The globally averaged surface air
temperature increase, averaged over
a 20 year period, centred at the
time of CO2
doubling, i.e., at year 70 in a
1% per year compound CO2
increase experiment with a global
coupled climate
model.
Tropopause
The boundary between the troposphere
and the stratosphere.
Troposphere
The lowest part of the atmosphere
from the surface to about 10 km
in altitude in mid-latitudes (ranging
from 9 km in high latitudes to 16
km in the tropics on average) where
clouds and "weather" phenomena occur.
In the troposphere temperatures
generally decrease with height.
Turnover
time
See: Lifetime.
Uncertainty
An expression of the degree to which
a value (e.g. the future state of
the climate system) is unknown.
Uncertainty can result from lack
of information or from disagreement
about what is known or even knowable.
It may have many types of sources,
from quantifiable errors in the
data to ambiguously defined concepts
or terminology, or uncertain projections
of human behaviour. Uncertainty
can therefore be represented by
quantitative measures (e.g. a range
of values calculated by various
models) or by qualitative statements
(e.g., reflecting the judgement
of a team of experts). See Moss
and Schneider (2000).
United
Nations Framework Convention on
Climate Change (UNFCC)
The Convention was adopted on 9
May 1992 in New York and signed
at the 1992 Earth Summit in Rio
de Janeiro by more than 150 countries
and the European Community. Its
ultimate objective is the "stabilisation
of greenhouse gas concentrations
in the atmosphere at a level that
would prevent dangerous anthropogenic
interference with the climate system".
It contains commitments for all
Parties. Under the Convention, Parties
included in Annex I aim to return
greenhouse gas emissions not controlled
by the Montreal Protocol to 1990
levels by the year 2000. The convention
entered into force in March 1994.
See: Kyoto
Protocol.
Uptake
The addition of a substance of concern
to a reservoir.
The uptake of carbon containing
substances, in particular carbon
dioxide, is often called (carbon)
sequestration.
Volume
mixing ratio
See: Mole
fraction.
Vulnerability
Vulnerability is the degree to which
a system is susceptible to, or unable
to cope with, adverse effects of
climate change, including climate
variability and extremes. Vulnerability
is a function of the character,
magnitude, and rate of climate change
and variation to which a system
is exposed, its sensitivity, and
its adaptive
capacity.
Source:
IPCC
Glossary
|