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TABLE 8: Energy demand by source and sector: reference scenario

  ENERGY DEMAND
(Mtoe)
SHARE
(Percentage)
1980 1990 2000 2005 2015 2030 2005 2015 2030
Note: .. = not available. Data presented are subject to rounding.
Source: IEA, 2007.
Total primary energy supply by SOURCE 7 228 8 755 10 023 11 429 14 361 17 721 100 % 100 % 100 %
Coal 1 786 2 216 2 292 2 892 3 988 4 994 25 % 28 % 28 %
Oil 3 106 3 216 3 647 4 000 4 720 5 585 35 % 33 % 32 %
Gas 1 237 1 676 2 089 2 354 3 044 3 948 21 % 21 % 22 %
Nuclear 186 525 675 714 804 854 6 % 6 % 5 %
Hydro 147 184 226 251 327 416 2 % 2 % 2 %
Biomass and waste 753 903 1 041 1 149 1 334 1 615 10 % 9 % 9 %
Other renewable 12 35 53 61 145 308 1 % 1 % 2 %
 
Total energy consumption by SECTOR .. 6 184 .. 7 737 9 657 1 1861 100 % 100 % 100 %
Residential, services and agriculture .. 2 516 .. 2 892 3 423 4 122 37 % 35 % 35 %
industry .. 2 197 .. 2 834 3 765 4 576 37 % 39 % 39 %
Transport .. 1 471 .. 2 011 2 469 3 163 26 % 26 % 27 %
Oil .. 1 378 .. 1 895 2 296 2 919 94 % 93 % 92 %
Biofuels .. 6 .. 19 57 102 1 % 2 % 3 %
Other fuels .. 87 .. 96 117 142 5 % 5 % 4 %

Source: FAO, The State of Food and Agriculture, Biofuels: Prospects, Risks and Opportunities (2008) , Chapter 4, Section Long-term projections for biofuel development, p.44

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Biofuels homeLiquid Biofuels for Transport Prospects, risks and opportunities
Other Figures & Tables on this publication:

TABLE 1: Biofuel production by country, 2007

TABLE 2: Biofuel yields for different feedstocks and countries

TABLE 3: Hypothetical potential for ethanol from principal cereal and sugar crops

TABLE 4: Voluntary and mandatory bioenergy targets for transport fuels in G8+5 countries

TABLE 5: Applied tariffs on ethanol in selected countries

TABLE 6: Total support estimates for biofuels in selected OECD economies in 2006

TABLE 7: Approximate average and variable rates of support per litre of biofuel in selected OECD economies

TABLE 8: Energy demand by source and sector: reference scenario

TABLE 9: Land requirements for biofuel production

TABLE 10: Water requirements for biofuel crops

TABLE 11: Import bills of total food and major food commodities for 2007 and their percentage increase over 2006

TABLE 12: Net importers of petroleum products and major cereals, ranked by prevalence of undernourishment

TABLE 13: Share of net staple food-seller households among urban, rural and total households

Box 1: Other types of biomass for heat, power and transport

Box 2: Biotechnology applications for biofuels

Box 3: Biofuel policies in Brazil

Box 4: Biofuel policies in the United States of America

Box 5: Biofuel policies in the European Union

Box 6: Main sources of uncertainty for biofuel projections

Box 7: Biofuels and the World Trade Organization

Box 8: Biofuels and preferential trade initiatives

Box 9: The Global Bioenergy Partnership

Box 10: Biofuels and the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change

Box 11: Jatropha – a “miracle” crop?

Box 12: Agricultural growth and poverty reduction

Box 13: Cotton in the Sahel

Box 14: Biofuel crops and the land issue in the United Republic of Tanzania

Figure 1: World primary energy demand by source, 2005

Figure 2: Total primary energy demand by source and region, 2005

Figure 3: Trends in consumption of transport biofuels

Figure 4: Biofuels – from feedstock to end use

Figure 5: Uses of biomass for energy

Figure 6: Conversion of agricultural feedstocks into liquid biofuels

Figure 7: Estimated ranges of fossil energy balances of selected fuel types

Figure 8: Support provided at different points in the biofuel supply chain

Figure 9: Biofuel production costs in selected countries, 2004 and 2007

Figure 10: Breakeven prices for crude oil and selected feedstocks in 2005

Figure 11: Breakeven prices for maize and crude oil in the United States of America

Figure 12: Breakeven prices for maize and crude oil with and without subsidies

Figure 13: Maize and crude oil breakeven prices and observed prices, 2003–08

Figure 14: Price relationships between crude oil and other biofuel feedstocks, 2003-08

Figure 15: Food commodity price trends 1971–2007, with projections to 2017

Figure 16: Global ethanol production, trade and prices, with projections to 2017

Figure 17: Major ethanol producers, with projections to 2017

Figure 18: Global biodiesel production, trade and prices, with projections to 2017

Figure 19: Major biodiesel producers, with projections to 2017

Figure 20: Total impact of removing trade-distorting biofuel policies for ethanol, 2013–17 average

Figure 21: Total impact of removing trade-distorting biofuel policies for biodiesel, 2013–17 average

Figure 22: Life-cycle analysis for greenhouse gas balances

Figure 23: Reductions in greenhouse gas emissions of selected biofuels relative to fossil fuels

Figure 24: Potential for cropland expansion

Figure 25: Potential for yield increase for selected biofuel feedstock crops

Figure 26: Potential for irrigated area expansion

Figure 27: Agricultural trade balance of least-developed countries

Figure 28: Distribution of poor net buyers and sellers of staple foods1

Figure 29: Average welfare gain/loss from a 10 percent increase in the price of the main staple, by income (expenditure) quintile for rural and urban households