Figure 4.1. Key Desertification-related Findings of the MA Scenarios

Rates of change in the extent of desertified areas in the drylands: Solid lines indicate the best case; dashed lines indicate the worst case for desertification in each of the MA scenarios.

Scenarios: Globalized Regionalized
Reactive Proactive Reactive Proactive
Global Orchestration

Global Orchestration
Techno Garden

Order from Strength

Order from Strength
Adapting Mozaic

Desertification trends:
worst case

worst case
best case

best case
Pressure exerted by 3 desertification factors:
Irrigation decreasing increasing increasing remaining the same
Poverty decreasing increasing strongly increasing increasing remaining the same
Climate Change strongly increasing remaining the same strongly increasing increasing

Source: based on MA  Desertification Synthesis Report (2005), p.12

Related publication:
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Other Figures & Tables on this publication:

Figure 1.1. Schematic Description of Development Pathways in Drylands

Figure 1.2. Land Uses in Drylands

Figure 2.1. Comparison of Infant Mortality and GNP per Person in Drylands and Other MA Systems in Asia

Figure 4.1. Key Desertification-related Findings of the MA Scenarios

Figure 6.1. Linkages and Feedback Loops among Desertification, Global Climate Change, and Biodiversity Loss

Appendix A: Present-day Drylands and Their Categories

Box 7.1Droughts in the Sahel Region: Lessons Learned and Knowledge Gaps

Figure 7.1. Overlap of Urban Areas with the Four Dryland Categories

Box 4.1. Millennium Ecosystem Assessment Scenarios

Table 1.1. Key Dryland Ecosystem Services