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Figure 4.1. Key Desertification-related Findings of the MA Scenarios

Rates of change in the extent of desertified areas in the drylands: Solid lines indicate the best case; dashed lines indicate the worst case for desertification in each of the MA scenarios.

Scenarios: Globalized Regionalized
Reactive Proactive Reactive Proactive
Global Orchestration

Global Orchestration
Techno Garden

TechnoGarden
Order from Strength

Order from Strength
Adapting Mozaic

Adapting
Mosaic
Desertification trends:
worst case

worst case
best case

best case
trend1
trend2
trend3
trend4
Pressure exerted by 3 desertification factors:
Irrigation decreasing increasing increasing remaining the same
Poverty decreasing increasing strongly increasing increasing remaining the same
Climate Change strongly increasing remaining the same strongly increasing increasing

Source: based on MA  Desertification Synthesis Report (2005), p.12