Scenarios of the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment

Four plausible scenarios explore the future of ecosystems and human well-being for the next 50 years and beyond.

The scenarios consider two possible paths of world development:

• increasing globalization or
• increasing regionalization.

They also consider two different approaches to ecosystem management:

• in one approach, actions are reactive and address problems only after they become obvious,
• in the other approach, ecosystem management is proactive and deliberately aims for long-term maintenance of ecosystem services.

These scenarios are:

Source & © Millennium Ecosystem Assessment
 Synthesis Report (2005),
Chapter 5, Box 5.1, pp.72-73